Counting in Iraq: Update I
|A few months ago I projected that Coalition military fatalities in Iraq would surpass 9-11 World Trade Center fatalities sometime in mid-June. Yesterday, June 26th, that grim statistical milestone was achieved. World Trade Center fatalities: 2,749. Iraq Coalition military fatalities: 2,752 (and counting).|
The first six months of 2006 have, fortunately, been slightly less deadly than the year before, thus causing my estimate to be off by two weeks. Here's a comparison of [the first six months of] the previous four (!) years.
2006: 371 fatalities (Jan-June 27th)If this trend holds--and let's hope it does--the other projections I made in that post will also probably be off by a few weeks or months. But since the current U.S. policy is "more of the same," I have no doubt that they'll all eventually come true.
[UPDATED to clarify the comparison I wanted to make.]